
Source: UNCTAD, Review of Maritime Transport, Various years.
Maritime Container Freight Rates (USD per TEU), 1993-2009
The evolution of container freight rates along major long distance
maritime routes reveals a few patterns:
- Economies of scale, increasing capacity and
competition had a notable impact on rates. For instance, in spite
of ongoing inflation rates from Asia to Europe and to the United
States have declined through the 1990s and remained stable through
the 2000s. This marks the allocation of large containeships along
these routes.
- Significant imbalances in containerized maritime freight
rates have emerged along major trading routes. Prior to
1998, the "spread" between eastbound and westbound rates used to
be relatively narrow, a couple of hundred USD per TEU. From 1999,
the rate spread increased to about a thousand USD per TEU, a reflection
of the substantial global trade imbalances. On one hand, the Asian
financial crisis of 1997 created a substantial devaluation of their
respective currencies (with the exception of the Chinese Yuan which
was pegged to the USD until 2005), which made exports cheaper. On
the other hand, the same period was characterized by significant
economic growth in North America with its associated consumption
and a level of deindustrialization. American imports thus increased
at a rate which was significantly faster than exports.
- While rates between Europe and Asia and between the United States
and Asia have steadily declined and then remained constant, rates
in the opposite direction (from Asia) have increased and are subject
to some volatility, which is mainly lined with
export-oriented business cycles. As many Asian exports are consumer
goods, their demand is impacted by cycles of growth (e.g. 1996-1999)
and recession (e.g. 2001-2002 and 2008-2010).