
Source: WTO.
World's 10 Largest Exporters and Importers, 2007
An overview of world's largest exporters and importers underlines
a unique situation:
- Market size. Imports are a good indicator of the size
of a national market as well as the flows of merchandises servicing
the needs of an economy. The United States, Germany, China and Japan
are the world's largest importers and consequently the world's largest
economies. Germany has recently become the world's largest exporter,
supplementing the traditional position held by United States over
the last 50 years. The integration of China to the global economy
has been accompanied by a growing level of participation to trade
both in absolute and relative terms, improving the rank of China
from the 7th largest exporter in 2000, to the third largest in 2005
and finally to the second largest in 2007, supplanting the United
States.
- Trade imbalances. Some countries, notably the United
States and the United Kingdom, have significant trade deficits which
are reflected in their balance of payments. The United States has
reached a staggering trade imbalance, which accounted to more than
$854 billion in 2007. This aspect is dominantly linked with service
and technology-oriented economies that have experienced a relocation
of labor-intensive production activities to lower costs locations.
They are highly dependent on the efficient distribution of goods
and commodities. Conversely, countries having a positive trade balance
tend to be export-oriented with a level of dependency on international
markets. Germany, Japan, Canada and China are among the most notable
examples. China has a positive trade balance, but most of this surplus
concerns the United States. It maintains a negative trade balance
with many of its partners, especially resources providers (e.g.
Australia).
Such acute imbalances cannot be maintained indefinitely without a
readjustment. The surge in international trade, particularly after 2002,
was linked with a phase of asset inflation (e.g. real estate bubble),
particularly in the United States and several European countries (e.g.
United Kingdom, Spain) coupled with heavy borrowing using these assets
as collateral. A share of this debt was used for the purpose of consumption
of imported goods, which turned to be unsustainable. Over the coming
years, global trade will be significantly readjusted to better reflect
production and consumption capabilities.