
Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics.
On-Time Arrivals in the United States, 1995-2009 (in %)
The main source of delays (flight arriving more than 15 minutes late)
as reported by airlines are:
- Air Carrier (5.75%): The cause of the cancellation
or delay was due to circumstances within the airline's control (e.g.
maintenance or crew problems, aircraft cleaning, baggage loading,
fueling, etc.).
- Extreme Weather (0.87%): Significant meteorological
conditions (actual or forecasted) that, in the judgment of the carrier,
delays or prevents the operation of a flight such as tornado, thunderstorm,
blizzard or hurricane.
- National Aviation System (7.65%): Delays and
cancellations attributable to the national aviation system that
refer to a broad set of conditions, such as non-extreme weather
conditions, airport operations, heavy traffic volume, and air traffic
control.
- Late-arriving aircraft (6.67%): A previous
flight with same aircraft arrived late, causing the present flight
to depart late. This is the outcome of propagation effects on
schedule integrity.
- Security (0.06%): Delays or cancellations caused
by evacuation of a terminal or concourse, re-boarding of aircraft
because of security breach, inoperative screening equipment and/or
long lines in excess of 29 minutes at screening areas.
The fluctuations in the pattern are mainly attributed to the growth
and decline in air traffic. If air transport grows rapidly, the outcome
tends to be a decreasing performance of on-time arrivals as the
system is trying to cope with additional demands with a similar
level of capacity (e.g. 1995-2000
or 2003-2007). On the other hand, if air transportation stops growing
or even declines, the performance improves (e.g. 2000-2002 or 2007-2009).