THE GEOGRAPHY OF TRANSPORT SYSTEMS

Source: adapted from A. Pred (1967) Behavior and Location: Foundations
for a Geographic and Dynamic Location Theory. Part I, Lund 1967; Part
II, Lund 1969. [The Royal University of Lund, Department of Geography
Studies in Geography Ser.B (Human Geography) Nos. 27 & 28 / C.W.K.Gleerup,
Lund].
The behavioral approach to location considers that decision makers (e.g. a corporation or a potential store owner) are not entirely rational since they do not have access to all the information they would need to make an optimal decision. In addition, each decision maker does not have the same ability to use the information on hand to make a locational decision. To consider this situation, Pred (1967) developed a representation based upon a behavioral matrix where one axis represented the available information and the other the capacity to use it (skills and experience). This construct takes into consideration that even if information may be available, it may not be necessarily used properly or could even be analyzed incorrectly. Some decision makers are thus better than others. This representation assumes that most locational decision are not optimal, but acceptable, that is profitable. A profitable location is within a spatial margin of profitability, which is simply a set of locations (often conterminous) where the incomes derived from an activity are superior to the incurred costs of that location (rent, labor, etc.).
The above figure shows the behavioral matrix composed of a series of potential outcome in regard to a locational decision. The "Homo eoconomicus" (cell Cnn) is a perfectly informed individual having access to all the available information. The locational decisions of such an individual are optimal, implying the choice of a location has the highest profitability. Decision makers having good capacity to use and good availability of information (C35 and C54) would make a locational decision within the margins of profitability. Another decision maker (C22) could even be "lucky" because in spite of poor capacity to use and availability of information, the locational choice turns out to be profitable.
Even if Pred's behavioral matrix is almost impossible to apply to the real world, it underlines the possibility of sub-optimal locational decisions, which itself is a good reflection of reality. Uncertainty is implicitly assumed because the decision maker is not certain that a locational choice would be profitable (within the spatial margins of profitability) until the choice has been made and figures about income and expenses become available. Even if all the necessary information was at hand, it is not guaranteed that the chosen location will be profitable. Transport is an exogenous variable implicitly part of the measure of the profitability of a location.