The events in question are as follows.
You are given that P(F) = 0.8. You also know that the probability of your stock doubling, given that the FDA approves the kit, is 0.95. This is P(E|F).
You are asked to find P(E
F).
The definition
| P(E|F) | = | F)![]() P(F) |
can be used to find P(E
F) if you solve for P(E
F)
F) = P(F)P(E|F) = (0.8)(0.95) = 0.76Thus there is a 76% chance that the FDA will approve the product and the value of the stock you hold will double.